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RWC 2015 Preview: South Africa v Scotland

rwc2015South Africa are preparing for a hostile reception when they face Scotland
in Newcastle for their Pool B encounter.

POOL B – Match #25 – South Africa v Scotland
 RSA1scot1
Overall Stats South Africa vs Overall Stats Scotland
Average Score :   South Africa 26.08 vs 10.80 Scotland
Games Played 25 Games Played 25
*Games Won 20 *Games Won 5
*Games Lost 5 *Games Lost 20
Games Drawn 0 Games Drawn 0
*Longest.Winning.Streak 7 *Longest.Winning.Streak 2
*Longest Losing Streak 2 *Longest Losing Streak 7
*Largest Points For 68 *Largest Points For 29
*Largest Points Against 29 *Largest Points Against 68
*Largest.Winning.Margin 58 *Largest.Winning.Margin 15
*Largest Losing Margin -15 *Largest Losing Margin -58
*Total Points For 652 *Total Points For 270
*Avg Points For 26.08 *Avg Points For 10.8
*Total Points Against 270 *Total Points Against 652
*Avg Points Against 10.8 *Avg Points Against 26.08
*Total Points Difference 382 *Total Points Difference -382
*Avg Points Difference 15.28 *Avg Points Difference -15.28
* = By South Africa * = By Scotland
Past Ten Meetings
28-Jun-14 South Africa 55 6 Scotland Port Elizabeth, South Africa
17-Nov-13 Scotland 0 28 South Africa Edinburgh, Scotland
15-Jun-13 South Africa 30 17 Scotland Nelspruit, South Africa
17-Nov-12 Scotland 10 21 South Africa Edinburgh, Scotland
20-Nov-10 Scotland 21 17 South Africa Edinburgh, Scotland
15-Nov-08 Scotland 10 14 South Africa Edinburgh, Scotland
25-Aug-07 Scotland 3 27 South Africa Edinburgh, Scotland
17-Jun-06 South Africa 29 15 Scotland Port Elizabeth, South Africa
10-Jun-06 South Africa 36 16 Scotland Durban, South Africa
27-Nov-04 Scotland 10 45 South Africa Edinburgh, Scotland

POSSIBLE RR World Rankings outcome on Result

RSA (on 81.86 points) at a Neutral venue -vs- SCO (on 77.71 points) in a RWC match

Possible Outcome Rating Point
Exchange
New RSA
Rating
New SCO
Rating
Will SCO
overtake RSA?
If RSA win by 1-15 points 1.170 83.03 76.54 No
If RSA win by more than 15 1.755 83.61 75.95 No
If result is a draw 0.830 81.03 78.54 No
If SCO win by 1-15 points 2.830 79.03 80.54 Yes
If SCO win by more than 15 4.245 77.61 81.95 Yes

History is certainly against the Scots, as they have never defeated South Africa outside of Scotland.

That said, given Newcastle’s proximity to the Scottish border, this may as well be considered a home game as fans are expected to flock over the border.

There is so much on the line for the Springboks, as a loss will put their chances of making the quarter-finals in major jeopardy. The two-time world champions only have themselves and perhaps Eddie Jones to blame, as the Australian was the mastermind behind the sensational Japanese win against them in their opening game.

However, Heyneke Meyer’s men bounced back strongly with a six-try rout of Samoa on Saturday, with winger JP Pietersen crossing the whitewash for a hat-trick.

Meanwhile, Scotland enjoyed one of the easier starts to the competition, as they faced a tired Japan and the USA. Vern Cotter’s charges have taken advantage of the fixture list and picked up their full allotment of points, leaving them sitting pretty the top of Pool B.

South Africa’s tumultuous World Cup meanwhile continued as talismanic captain Jean de Villiers and vice-captain Victor Matfield were both ruled out of Saturday’s match, with the former retiring from international rugby and being put on the first flight home for an operation on his jaw.

This experience vacuum is bound to have an effect on the Springboks, but to what extent we will only know late on Saturday evening.

Meyer has named the mercurial Fourie du Preez as captain, favouring him over one-time test captain Schalk Burger. While Matfield’s absence in the line-out will be felt, Eben Etzebeth and Lood de Jager have proved themselves as worthy replacements.

Scotland’s Richie and Jonny Gray will certainly look to put pressure on the comparatively inexperienced South African lineout.

However, the real branch of youth will be the 10, 11, 12 combination, which sees the 21 year-old Handré Pollard feeding 23-year-old Damian de Allende and Jesse Kriel, who is also 21.

The trio combine for just 23 caps and face a stern test of character on Saturday.

Scotland’s loose trio of David Denton, new arrival Blair Cowan and Josh Struass on the other hand will do well to look after Burger, who leads the tournament in terms of carries with 37.

The Teams :

  • South Africa: 15 Willie le Roux, 14 JP Pietersen, 13 Jesse Kriel, 12 Damian de Allende, 11 Bryan Habana, 10 Handre Pollard, 9 Fourie du Preez (c), 8 Duane Vermeulen, 7 Schalk Burger, 6 Francois Louw, 5 Lood de Jager, 4 Eben Etzebeth, 3 Jannie du Plessis, 2 Bismarck du Plessis, 1 Tendai Mtawarira
    Replacements: 16 Adriaan Strauss, 17 Trevor Nyakane, 18 Frans Malherbe, 19 Pieter-Steph du Toit, 20 Willem Alberts, 21 Ruan Pienaar, 22 Pat Lambie, 23 Jan Serfontein
  • Scotland: 15 Stuart Hogg, 14 Tommy Seymour, 13 Richie Vernon, 12 Peter Horne, 11 Tim Visser, 10 Duncan Weir, 9 Greig Laidlaw (c), 8 Dave Denton, 7 Blair Cowan, 6 Josh Strauss, 5 Jonny Gray, 4 Richie Gray, 3 WP Nel, 2 Fraser Brown, 1 Gordon Reid.
    Replacements: 16 Ross Ford, 17 Alasdair Dickinson, 18 Jon Welsh, 19 Tim Swinson, 20 Ryan Wilson, 21 Sam Hidalgo-Clyne, 22 Peter Horne, 23 Sean Lamont
  • Date: Saturday, October 3
  • Venue: St James’ Park, Newcastle
  • Kick-off: 16:45 local (15:45 GMT)
  • Referee: Nigel Owens (Wales)
  • Assistant Referees: Chris Pollock (New Zealand), Leighton Hodges (Wales)
  • TMO: George Ayoub (Australia)

  • Full Pool Previews – Click Individual Pool Below

poolA2015poolB2015

poolC2015poolD2015


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